Showing posts with label Technical analysis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Technical analysis. Show all posts

Tuesday, November 26, 2013

Importance indicator in forex



Some people find Forex trading very difficult. The reason behind this is because they do not spend enough time to study the market trends and they did not do a thorough technical analysis. Forex charts are very important and you need to know how these charts are developed. As you probably know by now, the Forex market is a fast moving and you need to follow if you want to get a good profit. Technical analysis can definitely help you and so can market indicators.

The indicator is very useful especially when you want to perform transactions in the Forex market. Technical indicators are very important in Forex trading. You can combine the indicators to create their own trading strategies in order to identify market trends. As an effective trader, you should be able to identify the current or major trends, the short trends, and intermediate trends, if you can do this, you'll be able to hold a good position in the Forex market where you can earn a great income and profits.

Because Forex markets change continuously, you need to establish criteria for the use of technical indicators. If you want to get the highest probability and accurate predictions, you should be able to determine the behavior of the price of the currency you want to invest on. The forex market.
Suppose that your assessment is correct, you should still consider other factors to get the maximum benefit from your trade. If you are, having a bad day in the Forex market, stop trading for the moment. This is a smart decision because if you stay longer (hoping to regain your lost money), you may lose more than your investment.

With so many technical indicators to use, you will certainly find a combination that will work best for you. Do not ever get discouraged. When using technical indicators, you have to give yourself enough time in doing the analysis and studies. There are so many things to consider. You, the people who need to adjust to the fast-paced environment. Keep in mind that there are also a lot of traders out there who want to benefit. You have to follow the competition.

Technical analysis is not very easy to do, so you'll need all the help you can get. You can consult with a broker or online Forex trading tools if you want to learn more about this kind of trade. Internet is widely available and you can use it to your advantage. Educate yourself on a variety of technical indicators that you can use in identifying market trends. Successful Forex trading, you should learn about technical indicators.

 

Sunday, November 24, 2013

Choosing the best time frame for trading



I want a little talk about the Time Frame. Many of us do not know how we're safe Time Frame for trading. How Time Frame which is not safe? As we know, the Candle at higher TF is a combination of movement of the TF that few candles lower.

Candle Height in H1 is different from the one candle high in H1 or M15.Candle could have the size to 100 pips even never reach 200 pips. Medium in M15 only reac
h a maximum of about 60 -70 pips. Errors take on TF H1 OP erosive floating candle would result in some swelling that occurs minus value. Example 4 floating candle H1 size minus 40 pips to 160 pips cause. While in TF M15 if floating candle size occur 4 to 15 pips, then the value of minus only be 60 pips.

This will affect the margin and equity security that we have. So use TF according to the power of capital and margin resilience that we have. If the stock just under $ 500, it's not safe to play on H1 or H4 especially in D1. One Candle D1 if one could take the position of minus 400 pips over a single candle, if resistance only 230 pips, we can MC in one candle.

In the chart the forex market platform, available time frame (Time Frame) that you can use to benchmark trading. All Forex charting platform offers a chart from 1 minute to weekly or even monthly period. So, the question often arises from the trader, which is the best time frame to analyze the currency pair and make profits in Forex?

If the answer to that question is me, then I will answer, "It depends on what kind of trader you are. If you are a day trader, then you must use the short time frame to capture a small trend in the Forex. If you are a swing trader, you have to use a larger time frame, in order to capture the best swing in the Forex.

The time frame for a day trader:


There is a choice of time frame (time frame) that can be used for the day trader. The most common are 1 minute, 5 minutes, 15 minutes or even 30 minutes. But for me, the frame time of 1 minute is not very good, because most of the frame period of 1 minute does not offer many opportunities. This time frame is too small to understand price movements and the difficulty of finding a good intraday trend. You will not be able to see the difference between the price was little and large.

5 minute time frame allows a reasonable time frame for the day trader. It also allows you to capture trade quickly with decent movement to take advantage.

Time frame 15 minutes is like 5 minutes, one of the best time frame for the day trader. It allows you to see clearly the difference between the trends are small and large. The time frame also allows you to hold the winner. Time frame 30 minutes can also be used for the day trader. However, time can only be used if you intend to continue in the trade of up to 6 or 8 hours.

The time frame for Swing Trader:


Time frames are most often used for the swing trader is a graph of 1 hour, 4 hour charts, and even the daily chart. Medium Time Frame 1 hour is a good time if you want to continue to trade for 1-2 days. It presents a good opportunity for this type of trading and allows you to trade preformance with good risk-reward (something that is almost impossible to do in such a small time frame chart 5 minutes or 1 minute).

Sedangka Time Frame 2 hour and 4 hour charts allow Time Frame for traders who want to hold a trade for a few days to 2 weeks. Time Frame allows you to capture the largest movement in the Forex.

Daily chart is intended for traders who want to continue in the trade for weeks and is suitable for an investor. This is a good time frame that allows you to know where the currency pair will move to the next week.

So, there are many options to choose frames from the use of Forex charts. Depending on the nature and type of a trader in the trading (day trader or swing trader), you can use different time frames to achieve your goals. We should remember that the time frame has advantages and disadvantages compared to the others.

If you're looking for a Time Frame your favorite, keep in mind that you have to use technical analysis in your trading.

Friday, November 1, 2013

The Economic Indicators

Economic indicators play a huge role in the forex market, particularly in the form of fundamental analysis. Some of the most influential indicators for the dollar include Non Farm Payroll, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) interest rate decisions, trade balance, Consumer Price Index (CPI), and retail sales.



Non Farm Payroll (NFP) is a good indicator of the employment rate and overall strength of the labor market. It represents all business employees excluding general government employees, private household employees, and employees of nonprofit organizations, accounting for about 80% of the workers who contribute to GDP. The full report also includes estimates on the average work week and weekly earnings of these employees. As a general indicator of the health of the economy, usually the dollar in forex trading is affected more the further from expectations the figure for NFP turns out to be. The general trend for NFP since 1990 has been increasing. Overall, NFP has increased from 109,144 in January of 1990 to 135,106 in May of 2006. Generally, when NFP is lower than expected traders will begin to sell the US dollar on the belief that it is weakening. The opposite is true for an unexpectedly high NFP. NFP is released at 8:30am EST on the first Friday of every month and tends to cause an average move of 124 pips in the EUR/USD.

Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decisions in general indicate the overall strength of the economy. The FOMC sets the discount rate or federal funds rate (the rate that the Federal Reserve Bank charges member banks for overnight loans) which is highly influential on the forex market. Because interest rates are set higher to induce foreign investment and therefore fight inflation during times of prosperity and lower to increase spending during recessions, they are an important indicator of the strength of the dollar. Increases in interest rates tend to lead to a strengthening of the dollar, while decreases usually precede a depreciation. Therefore, following rate hikes traders usually buy the dollar, anticipating an increase in its value. The opposite is true when the FOMC reduces rates. For the past 15 years the federal funds rate has experienced a net decrease, from 8.23% in January of 1990 to 4.94% in May of 2006, with periods of significant variance inbetween. There are eight scheduled FOMC meetings per year, each of which is usually followed by an average move of about 74 pips in the EUR/USD.

Trade balance measures the difference in value of the goods and services the US imports and those that it exports. From another perspective, it may also be considered the difference between national savings and national investment. A surplus exists if the exports exceed the imports, and a deficit, the current situation for the US, exists if the opposite is true. The balance can be affected by a variety of factors, including prices of domestic goods, exchange rates, trade agreements or barriers, and other trade regulations such as tariffs. Trade surpluses are generally not bad for the economy, but may lead to harmful protectionist policies. Deficits may lead to loss of jobs and problems with debt servicing. The US has had a trade deficit since the 1970s, at 1.7 billion in 1990, 6.7 billion in 2005, and continuously increasing. This could be because of the dollar’s use as a reserve currency and its overall strength, the growth of the US economy, high demand for American investment assets, rising oil prices, and globalization. Depreciating the dollar could be a possible solution to this imbalance, through a variety of methods. This would give consumers less purchasing power, ideally leading to a decrease in imports. This makes the trade balance less relevant as an immediate influence on forex trading but rather valuable as an alert to likely future Fed decisions. In general, however, a deficit is considered a sign of US economic weakness and therefore may lead traders to short the dollar. Trade balance is usually released near the middle of the second month after the reporting period and is followed by an average move of 64 pips in the price of the EUR/USD.

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a statistical measure representing inflation based on a fixed basket of consumer goods. Used to deflate other economic indicators and set wages, CPI is useful throughout the economy. The US CPI has been steadily increasing for the past 15 years, from 127.5 in January of 1990 to 201.0 in April of 2006. The response of traders to CPI is difficult to predict because although a high CPI is a signal of trouble in the economy, prompting traders to short the USD, it also tends to forecast interest rate increases by the Fed to which traders usually respond by buying. CPI is released around the 13th of every month at 8:30am EST followed by an average move in the EUR/USD of 44 pips.

Retail sales is a figure measuring the amount of goods sold by a sampling of stores, meant to be representative of consumer activity and confidence in the economy. Therefore, high retail sales numbers imply a strong economy. The retail trade sector, as delineated in the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) is considered to include companies selling finished goods or rendering services incidental to the sale of finished goods. Since 1992 the US retail sales numbers have been steadily increasing, jumping from 7.14 billion in January of 1990 to 8.77 billion in May of 2006. Generally forex traders respond positively to high US retail sales numbers and long the dollar, shorting it when the figure is lower than expected. Retail sales numbers are announced around the 11th of every month at 8:30am EST causing an average 44-pip movement in the EUR/USD.

Wednesday, October 30, 2013

Trading using stochastic indicator

Stochastic indicator technique


This time I want to share one of my trading strategy I have used for several years. And I've proven yourself by using only one indicator of this trade I always generate profit in accordance with my target. Trading strategy that I use only use 3 pieces of stochastic who can adapt to any timeframe. I usually always play scalping in TF 1 minute, with only 10 points TP and no SL. Stochastic its setting is as follows:

1. Stochastic 1 : 9,4,3
2. Stochastic 2 : 12,4,12
3. Stochastic 3 : 24,4,24

Setup:


Over Sold / Over Bought line standard level was at 20 and 80,simple moving average.

Order Entry:
By the time all the stochastic is in oversold level TF1M Entry Buy on Target 10 Pips

Sell ​​Entry:


By the time all the stochastic is in overbought level Entry TF1M Sell on target 10 Pips entries are really on Stoch Stoch 2 1 is used as a signal of intention to make the first entry at the open position when the movement of the chart will be in accordance with our wishes. Stoch an OS instance, Stoch 2 OB, OB Stoch 3 then we have to wait till OB Stoch 1, after an OB Stoch we open new short positions.. look after open sell chart will move according to our wishes ..

 

stochastic indicator,stochastic process,stochastic oscillator,what is stochastic

 


As long as I use this strategy I've pretty much making a profit, there may be differences if-agan agan all also use this strategy. Please also be shared to me so I can be smarter again.

Sunday, October 27, 2013

Fatal Error When using Autotrading

Autotrading like Zulutrade system, MirrorTrader and Pipsbook is an excellent solution for the owners of capital who can not trade or do not have time for trading. Many people who use Zulutrade profitable (and other systems) with various signal providernya. But not a few others that are not profit for a variety of errors. Consider these things and solutions:

1. Risk is too big


Generally, because of luck too sure at 3 parties (you, signal providers, and others who follow the signal provider), you determine the amount lotsize optimistic approach. Ie the assumption of where the market is never bad, and SP never passed drawdown that had been passed during the strategy goes. So you use a drawdown that has occurred as a benchmark max loss. As a result, when the drawdown is passed (-meaning there is a greater drawdown). Then there was a disaster.

For example, the SP has a 1000 pips drawdown. You deposit $ 1000, then using 0.1 lot (max risk means 1000 pips = $ 1,000). This is a recipe for disaster. Ideally it should be maximum drawdown of 20% -30% of your capital, not 100%. If you do not like math, use a free calculator to determine the exact lot ZuluTrade Calculator - FXOptimax

2. Overconfidence


After a few weeks of SP that you follow consistently profit, most people start itching to mess up their own risk plan. "During this profit anyway, really small drawdown, gw aja naikin his lot until fixed.!!!! '

Throw away those thoughts, unless you balance plus (so in accordance with the risk plan), or your balance increases significantly because profit.

Selogis might think a basic odds with science is taught in high school. If an SP has an average 80% profit position, means that 1 out of 5 of his trade will loss. If you have a 10x profit in a row, then the loss will be even greater possibilities. So do not raise your risk by increasing the lot while being a great opportunity loss.

The film titled 21 could be a good reference for the application of science opportunities.

3. Perceiving excessive SP


The pilots usually fly on autopilot, except during take off and landing. But if the plane crash, the pilot will take over control of the plane. Likewise, if the trend is considered much too strong in a particular direction (the opposite direction of where you are), you can do hedging, or to close the position. But should the decision to hedge is based on logical analysis, instead of to fears or panic.

4. Capital is too small


If you do not have sufficient investable funds, do forex trading. You can not expect capital of $ 200 you can give a profit of $ 200/bulan, so you can retire from your job. Rational profit was about 100% a year with a risk that is "reasonable". And you need a $ 300 - $ 500 to trade 0.01 lot with a risk that is "reasonable" is. If you do not have a budget invest that much, so look for another job to raise capital. Zulutrade or other systems (the minimum tradenya 0.01 lot) is not for you that has a capital of only $ 100.

With funding of $ 100, you'll want to consider PAMM than autotrading.

5. Does not account for commissions


If your broker charge 2 pips and your SP rata2 8 pips profit per trade. Then the commission will be worth 25%. If SP 100X and you follow trade 0.1 lot. Assuming a 80x profit 10 pips = 800 pips and 20x loss 20 pips = 400 pips, then your net profit is 400 pips, and the commission is 200 pips, aka half of your profits. Look for systems / broker as cheaply as possible, if necessary, its free!

That's all! Do not let trivial mistakes like this makes you much less loss MC

Saturday, October 26, 2013

Forex short term strategy

"People are not remembered by how few times they fail, but how often they succeed."
- Thomas Edison

Okey, I am sharing this post about strategies for short term profit. Let us together quickly succeed in the forex business.

This strategy uses two chart TIME FRAME 15-minute and 1-hour charts chart, and 200 period EMA and 4-bar slow stochastic. To identify trends you should look for situations where consistanctly priced above or below the moving averages on both charts.

Once the trends have been identified:

IF the market is more than 20 points above (for going long) or 20 points below (for going short) moving average.

Stochastic fast pass line / cross above the slow line Stochastic under 20 (for going long) or below the line crosses above the slow stochastic 80 (for going short).

If these conditions are met it means that the currency is currently in a short-term uptrend or a downtrend and has stopped or pulled back and ready to make a turn / turn.

Stop loss should be set 10 points below the 200 period MA on the 15 minute chart. for going short, place a stop 10 points above 200 - period moving average on the 15-minute chart.

Friday, October 25, 2013

Learn forex analysis

There are a novice trader to ask me, why forex headache after a long time huh? there is technical analysis, fundamental analysis, no news, no support resistance, there are bullish and bearish other crap. You also ask that? For the master trader, the seniors, just skip this article ...

Technical Analysis (Chart)


Technical analysis is a method of predicting price movements by taking into account the data that is solely market-generated. Using data from a particular market is most common in this type of information analyzed by a technician, even so will also store and carefully observe the volume and open interest in futures contracts.

Basics of technical analysis is often used by traders / brokers / Forex traders:


Trend, the currency price movement by showing a tendency toward movement - up, down, or flat.
• Bullish vs Bearish: Bullish, derived from the word 'Bull' or bulls, showed indications of price movements up to move up or Bearish, derived from the word 'Bear' or a bear, an indication of price movements to move down or down
• Support & Resistance: Support, the price area where it was found that it is difficult to penetrate the market price is lower. Resistance, the price area where it was found that it is difficult to penetrate the market price is higher.

Fundamental Analysis (News / News)


Headline analysis focuses on economic, social, political and war that could spur the existence of a demand and supply. A principal analyst at a variety of Macroeconomic indicators such as the list of goods delivery costs of economic growth, interest rates, inflation, and unemployment.

However, you will need to arrive at an appropriate method such as how best to translate this information into entry and exit points specified in the strategy Forex transactions.

Currency prices reflect the balance of demand and supply for currencies. Two major factors affecting supply and demand are interest rates and overall economic strength. The economic indicators such as GDP, foreign investment, and balance / trade balance reflect the general health of an economy, therefore, responsible for the underlying shifts in supply and demand for that currency.

For Forex traders, the news is all the things that makes a country tick. Of interest rates and central bank policy to natural disasters, the news is a dynamic mixture of separate plans, erratic behaviors and unforeseen events. Therefore, the best way to get the most influential news is to formulate a whole all the "Fundamentals" or any news.